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10 octobre 2009 6 10 /10 /octobre /2009 07:15
les MILLENARISTES



Terme souvent utilisé en dénigrement
pour rabaisser des hommes
terme fréquent pour le déni des réalités géophysiques .
exemple de falsification du langage par usage
de la NLF
pour renforcer le trait , les décrire comme une " SECTE"

De Gaulle était un " millénariste" jusqu'au 09 Mai 1940
( avant l'invasion du lendamain ) etc...

Les résistants français étaient une " secte" , etc.. etc....

Les hommes prévenant de la crise prévue pour 2007- 2008
( j'en ai archivé des textes depuis 2005 ) étaient des " millénaristes"


Cassandre était une " Millénariste"  etc... etc....

Souvent donné aux " empêcheurs de polluer "

[ exemple = Fait moi pas Ch... , moi mon truc c'est de polluer ]
selon mr PAR

CARACTERISTIQUE :
Les """ millénaristes""" ont du RESSENTIMENT

Ce sont des FOUS  qui ne croient pas au
" Grand bond en avant derrière le génial Timonier"

Tous ces spécialistes de géologie pétrolière
sont des fous
( selon mr Allègre , l'idole de
Sarkonzy ).
6  exemples de ces fous avec RESSENTIMENT .
Les " RESSENTIMENTALISTES ? "

1  JEAN LAHERRERE  polytechnicien , géologue

2  COLIN CAMPBELL  géologue  Ph.D OXFORD

3  KJELL ALEKLETT  professeur de physique nucléaire

4  JEAN-MARC JANCOVICI  polytechnicien , Ingénieur X-mine

5  Dale Allen PFEIFFER  géologue

6  Pr King HUBBERT géologue


Les salauds ! en plus , ils ont l'affront de ne pas aimer l'odeur du kérosène brulé et du BLEED AIR !
Les 4x4

1    Jean Laherrère
découvreur des gisements de pétrole du Sahara COLOMB-BECHAR
( après Conrad KILIAN assassiné)
Un " imbécile " [ Polytechnicien ]
millénariste

Jean H. Laherrère is a petroleum engineer and consultant, best known as the co-author of an influential 1998 Scientific American article entitled "The End of Cheap Oil". [1] Laherrère worked for 37 years with Total S.A., a French petroleum company.

His work on seismic refraction surveys contributed to the discovery of Africa's largest oil field. [1]


Since retiring from Total, Laherrère has consulted worldwide on the future of exploration and production of oil and natural gas. He is an active member of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, and continues to contribute detailed analyses and projections of the future of world energy production. [2]

Laherrère is an advisor for the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre.

 

  1. ^ a b Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère, "The End of Cheap Oil", Scientific American, March 1998.
  2. ^ Papers and publications of Jean Laherrère 
     
  3.  

    Colin Campbell in Italy in 2006
    Born 1931 (1931)
    Nationality British
    Education St Paul's, Oxford (MA, DPhil)[1]
    Occupation Geologist, Author
    Employer Retired




    2  Pr Colin J. Campbell

     
    Ph.D. Oxford, (born in Berlin, Germany in 1931) is a retired British petroleum geologist who predicted that oil production would peak by 2007 . The consequences of this are uncertain but drastic, due to the world's dependence on fossil fuels for the vast majority of its energy. His theories have received wide attention, but are disputed by some in the oil industry and have not significantly changed U.S. governmental energy policies at this time. In order to deal with declining global oil production, he has proposed the Rimini protocol.

    Influential papers by Campbell include The Coming Oil Crisis, which he wrote with Jean Laherrère in 1998, and is credited with convincing the International Energy Agency of the coming peak; and The End of Cheap Oil, which was published the same year in Scientific American. He was referred to as a "doomsayer" in the The Wall Street Journal in 2004[citation needed].

    The Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas founded by Campbell has been gaining recognition in the recent years. They have organized yearly international conferences since 2002. The next is scheduled in Denver, Colorado on 11-13 October 2009. The previous one was in Sacramento, California on 21-23 September 2008.

    Contents

    []

    Background

    The most famous peak oil petrogeologist is M. King Hubbert, who predicted in 1956 that oil production would peak in the United States between 1965 and 1970 . His theories became popular during the 1973 energy crisis, and during 1979 energy crisis when even the United States Secretary of Energy, James Schlesinger, announced that the peak had arrived[citation needed].

    In December 2000 Colin Campbell warned in a public lecture held in Clausthal University of a possible 'ill-conceived military intervention in the Middle East.'[citation needed]

     Current debate

    Global oil discovery peaked in 1964 [2], and since the early 1980s oil production has outpaced new discoveries. The world currently consumes oil at the rate of 84 million barrel per day (31 billion barrels/year, or 151 m³/s), and consumption is rising, particularly in China.

    According to Campbell:

    • There are no new potential oil fields sufficiently large to reduce this future energy crisis.
    • The reported oil reserves of many OPEC countries are inflated, to increase their quotas, or improve their chance of getting a loan from the World Bank.
    • The practice of gradually adding new discoveries to a country's list of proven reserves, instead of all at once, artificially inflates the current rate of discovery.

    Campbell has been predicting since 1989 ( claimed Peak then was 1990[citation needed] ) that this peak will cause a catastrophic worldwide economic depression.

    One theory, held by many in the oil industry and the United States Department of Energy[citation needed], is that oil production will continue to increase, due to technological advances and the geopolitical pressure caused by rising oil prices. They argue that:

    • Much of the world's oil reserves come from areas that have not been fully explored because they are politically unstable, like Russia and Iraq. Nobody knows how much oil is really left in those areas, and economic pressure could result in a new exploration boom.
    • New methods of extracting oil from existing fields are currently being developed. This may even expand the definition of "oil": Hydrocarbons exist in shale and tarry sands, and as a result companies like Exxon predict that there are up to 14 trillion barrels (2,200 km³) of exploitable hydrocarbons left in the world, which could fuel the oil industry for another century.

    The U.S. Department Of Energy report Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management, often referred to as the Hirsch Report, proposes an urgent mitigation approach to deal with the possibility of oil production going into decline in the immediate future.

    It states: "The peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and the world with an unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation, the economic, social, and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking."

    The current debate in the U.S. revolves around energy policy, and whether to shift funding to increasing conservation measures, fuel efficiency, and other energy sources such as wind power, solar power, hydropower, and nuclear power. Economist Michael Lynch claims Campbell's research data is sloppy. He points to the date of the coming peak, which was initially projected to occur by 1995, but has now been pushed back to 2007.[citation needed] However, Campbell and his supporters insist that when the peak occurs is not as important as the realization that the peak is coming.[citation needed]

    Personal background

    Campbell has over 40 years of experience in the oil industry. He was educated at St Paul's School (the public school in London) and Wadham College, Oxford (BA Geology 1954, MA and DPhil 1957)[1], and has worked as a petroleum geologist in the field, as a manager, and as a consultant. He has been employed by Oxford University, Texaco, British Petroleum, Amoco, Shenandoah Oil, Norsk Hydro, and Fina, and has worked with the Bulgarian and Swedish governments. His writing credits include two books and more than 150 papers.

    More recently, he founded the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, is affiliated with Petroconsultants in Geneva, is a trustee of the Oil Depletion Analysis Center in London. He conducts research on the oil peak, and he also tries to build public awareness of the issue, which includes lecturing extensively. He addressed a committee of the British House of Commons, and officials from investment and automotive companies. He has appeared in the documentary films The End of Suburbia, Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash, and PEAK OIL – Imposed by Nature.

    But it isn't this peak hasn't no real great significance, it is the perception and the vision of the long decline that comes into sight on the other side of the peak. That's really what matters. (speaking on peak oil phenomenon- End of Oil (2005))

    • Dire prophecy: as prices soar, doomsayers provoke debate on oil's future, by Jeffrey Ball from The Wall Street Journal, volume 244, number 57, September 21, 2004.
    • The end of cheap oil, by Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherrère. Scientific American, March 1998.
  4. -

    3   Kjell
    ALEKLETT
    Professeur de PHYSIQUE NUCLEAIRE
    à UPPSALA

    Un " Imbécile" Millénariste
  5. Kjell Aleklett

    Président de l’Association pour l’étude du pic mondial de la production pétrolière (ASPO, Association for the Study of Peak Oil, http://www.peakoil.net) et professeur de physique nucléaire à l’université d’Uppsala (Suède).




    Français: 1
     Italiano: 1

     Il peak oil contro alla rovescia finale

     Di Kjell Aleklett | 18 agosto 2005 | Voltaire, édition internationale |


     
    In un discorso pronunciato come dirigente della Halliburton, società venditrice di impianti petroliferi, due anni prima di divenire vicepresidente degli Stati Uniti, Dick Cheney rivelava il suo reale pensiero in materia di politica energetica.


    Secondo lui, malgrado la scoperta di nuovi giacimenti e di nuove tecnologie di sfruttamento, la produzione mondiale di petrolio era destinata a diventare inferiore alla richiesta. Da quel momento, la conquista delle regioni petrolifere del Golfo arabo-persico diventa un obiettivo strategico degli Stati Uniti.


     Rivedendo questi propositi, il professore Kjell Aleklett dell’università di Uppsala ha analizzato l’entità della crisi energetica.



  6. 4        Jean-Marc JANCOVICI  polytechnicien , ingénieur X-mines

Ancien élève de l'École polytechnique (promotion 1981) et diplômé de l'École nationale supérieure des télécommunications de Paris (1986), il devient consultant et collabore depuis 2001 avec l'ADEME pour la mise au point du bilan carbone.


 Il est auteur de plusieurs ouvrages sur la question climatique. En 2000, il entre au comité de la Fondation Hulot. En 2001, en tant que consultant, il met au point le bilan carbone avant de créer le cabinet Carbone 4 avec Alain Grandjean en 2007.


Il illustre la sous-évaluation du coût actuel de l'énergie en la rapprochant du coût du travail humain via la notion d'« équivalent esclave » (nombre d'« esclaves » auquel correspond une puissance de 100 watts) [1]
 (notion déjà évoquée chez
Ivan Illich).


   5  Dale Allen PFEIFFER 

Géologue université du MICHIGAN



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dale_Allen_Pfeiffer


 6  Professeur King  HUBBERT

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M._King_Hubbert
 

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